Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 2564.079631 2775.723974 2990.214498 3223.560797 3469.956583 3722.093054 3999.297684
2025-01-26 2286.723737 2608.355690 2946.398559 3326.988053 3742.349985 4180.732083 4677.195159
2025-02-02 2097.136535 2486.784793 2907.395387 3392.736641 3934.844264 4519.300681 5194.579155
2025-02-09 1913.407638 2347.298715 2826.627223 3391.428753 4034.663231 4740.431856 5569.277129
2025-02-16 1749.000883 2213.514552 2737.580240 3366.789219 4095.773369 4907.969918 5875.302325
2025-02-23 1644.790727 2139.841956 2708.772887 3403.041129 4219.297110 5140.591426 6250.862198
2025-03-02 1532.321632 2047.827626 2650.945823 3398.450440 4289.572595 5307.637961 6548.008144
2025-03-09 1461.202794 2000.416505 2641.388520 3446.743996 4418.508954 5540.394836 6920.116195
2025-03-16 1358.906418 1908.181824 2572.068997 3418.096791 4451.661381 5657.660945 7154.904508
2025-03-23 1314.821811 1885.980824 2585.953912 3488.432489 4602.181003 5913.010019 7552.835083
2025-03-30 1249.604442 1832.884169 2558.118171 3504.498431 4684.605001 6085.788667 7852.195167
2025-04-06 1183.815301 1775.444588 2521.668904 3507.020409 4748.192891 6234.449429 8122.019881
2025-04-13 1076.470872 1659.020892 2406.697452 3408.111259 4684.800045 6229.031980 8207.380781
2025-04-20 1062.588375 1667.755731 2453.509342 3515.835468 4880.887387 6542.815190 8683.952055
2025-04-27 1034.229302 1654.864762 2470.588063 3584.286490 5027.093754 6795.567007 9087.175756
2025-05-04 980.844108 1604.479772 2435.598369 3582.924983 5082.972488 6935.464439 9351.375882
2025-05-11 922.091732 1543.612675 2383.946129 3557.274244 5105.747742 7032.690758 9562.028966
2025-05-18 890.088339 1519.473090 2380.836597 3595.013238 5209.883744 7232.133600 9900.721747
2025-05-25 845.298165 1474.530750 2347.249063 3590.234474 5257.369131 7359.253259 10148.776824
2025-06-01 821.778751 1459.865092 2354.818660 3640.503120 5376.930297 7578.409394 10513.784459
2025-06-08 773.565710 1405.852199 2305.077205 3610.685229 5389.085483 7659.134991 10703.133452
2025-06-15 760.683584 1404.978092 2330.320447 3683.890527 5538.589805 7917.209662 11119.309684
2025-06-22 731.166073 1377.003946 2315.533747 3700.609722 5611.847442 8076.619820 11409.993394